What is the forecast for the course? Analysis of the US dollar exchange rate for three months according to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation

For residents of Russia and CIS countries USD/RUB exchange rate is of very great importance. Turbulence on the foreign exchange market leads to a significant rise in prices for goods and services, which was most clearly observed in 1998, 2008 and 2014. Strong volatility, followed by long-term periods of stability, allows speculators to make money both on the trend and on sideways movements.

USD RUB exchange rate now on the exchange (online) - Live Chart

The USD/RUB chart works online and provides the opportunity to connect and also conduct your own manual analysis using special additional tools.

Due to increased volatility, this instrument is popular among speculators. After the 2014 crisis, it overtook futures in popularity and became the most popular instrument in the domestic market. USD/RUB chart shows strong and distinct movements that are easily analyzed using popular technical indicators.

USD/RUB forecast for today

The USD/RUB forecast is constantly updated, so keep an eye on the update date. The USD/RUB forecast compiled on the basis of technical indicators and has varying degrees of signal strength. We recommend paying attention only to the values Active buy And Actively sell, and the best situation will be when these values ​​are repeated on all timeframes.

General characteristics of USD/RUB

The USD/RUB currency pair is called exotic in the world and is not very popular. This is due to the fact that the Central Bank regulates the ruble exchange rate, and traders consider the Russian economy to be unstable and the currency risky, and also, key news on RUB is published in Russian, which few people in the world know.

Active trading takes place during the trading session of the Moscow Exchange, and after it closes, trading practically stops. Many brokers prefer to close trading before 8 am so that the USD/RUB chart has a more pleasant appearance and is easier to technical analysis.

The USD/RUB pair has a standard lot of $100,000 per . Brokers provide fractional lots, allowing you to trade quotes starting with a sell or buy of $1.

• If you predict dollar growth- you need buy quotation.
• If you predict ruble growth- you need sell quotation.

Despite the fact that the history of the quote began in 1991, only in the last couple of years have brokers begun to add it to their list. Previously, such an asset was rare.

What affects the USDRUB exchange rate?

The dollar/ruble pair is strongly influenced by monetary policy Central Bank RF and Fed USA. Raising the key rate in Russia leads to a depreciation of the American currency. In turn, the American government’s raising of rates leads to a strengthening of the US dollar against other banknotes, including the ruble.

The release of news from America has a stronger impact on the USD/RUB exchange rate.

There is a belief that ruble quotes directly depend on. If oil rises, then the dollar begins to decline against the ruble and vice versa - a fall in hydrocarbon prices leads to a decrease in demand for the Russian national currency. This is not entirely true. If you pay attention to the fall in oil during the globalfinancial crisis of 2007, you can notice that the ruble has fallen, but has not collapsed, as happened in 2014. Currently, the ruble/dollar ratio is largely determined by international risk appetite. The ruble, like commodity instruments, is a risky instrument. Accordingly, when large market participants show interest in venture investments, both oil and the ruble begin to rise, and vice versa.

Indirectly, the USD/RUB exchange rate also depends on the euro, since if the European currency falls, then, accordingly, the dollar strengthens, and not only against the euro, but also against other currencies, including the ruble.

The ruble exchange rate in the Russian Federation is manageable and regulated, which greatly reduces the attractiveness of many market players. In general, the USD/RUB currency pair is influenced by many economic news - GDP, unemployment, interest rates, consumer sentiment and so on, but the Central Bank tries to prevent strong jumps and smoothes the rate through its actions.

What is the best way to trade the USD/RUB currency pair (+example)

The price dynamics of USD/RUB allows you to implement both long-term and short-term speculative strategies. Using the simplest price channels with an adequate interval brings tangible returns already on 2- and 3-month trading sessions. In the long-term medium term (from a month or more), it is recommended to work only for growth, excluding short positions. This is due more to the macroeconomic situation than to objective technical indicators.

• Holding a short dollar position for a long time will mean that you are going against the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (which benefits from a cheap ruble) and the position of the United States (sanctions are a fundamental factor in the issue of ruble devaluation), which is not very reasonable.

It would be advisable to open trades when the price channel is broken with an interval of 20 on the daily chart. As a stop, you can use the lower border of the channel, or a fixed order of 6% with periodic pulling it up to the current price.

On 15-minute periods it is convenient to use 150 or 160 intervals. By reducing the time interval, it will be possible to open short positions. Thus, breaking through the channel downwards means a reversal into shorts, and breaking through upwards means into longs. These same lines are stops in a situation when the price goes against the trader. The size of the transaction should be calculated based on such proportions that it is impossible to lose more than 4% from the current entry point.

• You can also use an adaptive price channel on USD/RUB, which can automatically select the required interval.

Among the most profitable tools for earning money are . In addition to high profits, this tool is very simple and accessible.

To make money on binary options, you just need to determine the direction of the price. That is, here it doesn’t matter to us how much the price changes, it only matters whether it goes up or down, even if it’s just one point.

Instead of 1000 words, we will show with an example how it goes trading in USD/RUB from a reputable and regulated broker.

After a little analysis we decided that USD/RUB exchange rate will grow, and the USD/RUB forecast confirmed this. We opened and selected the desired asset:

Then, in the transaction settings, specified the transaction period:

The option will close at 14:30, in 19 minutes. It remains to indicate whether the price will be higher or lower at the time of closing the transaction relative to the quote at the time of purchasing the option. We predict a fall according to the trend and press the button DOWN:

If after 19 minutes, at the time of closing the transaction, the USD/RUB rate is lower than at the time of purchase, our option condition will be fulfilled, and we will receive 65% profit.

We didn’t have to wait long, and here are the results of the deal:

The graph shows how the value of the dollar fell against the ruble, our forecast came true, and we returned $132, of which $52 was net profit:

Features of the USDRUB currency pair

Due to the tense economic situation in the Russian Federation, the country's population has traditionally used the US dollar and other reserve currencies as the only available way to save money. Thus, the next budgetary difficulties may cause an increased demand for dollars among the population. The load on bank exchangers causesincreased demand for deliverable foreign exchange contracts on the exchange itself. During such periods, banks widen the bid-ask spread. Thus, those people who are not familiar with the foreign exchange markets have to buy dollars at a huge premium. In particular, on the eve of 2016, the difference in banks was more than 11 rubles.

If you find an error, please highlight a piece of text and click Ctrl+Enter.

The official dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation in Russia today, December 28, 2019, 17:02, is 62.0315 rub. (1 USD = 62.0315 rubles). The Bank of Russia dollar exchange rate for tomorrow, December 29, 2019, will be set until 15:00 Moscow time today. Below on this page you can see a graph of the dynamics of the dollar exchange rate to the Russian ruble (USD/RUB) for a week, a month, a quarter, for a year and for all time, find out the exchange rate for a given date, and also find out when, how and why the Central Bank sets the official rate.

Dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for today, December 28, 2019 (Saturday): 62.0315 rubles.

The official dollar exchange rate of the Bank of Russia for today, December 28, 2019, 17:02, is 62.0315 rub. Compared to the previous working day, the Central Bank increased the dollar exchange rate in Russia by 0.2639 rub. (0.43%).

Dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for tomorrow, December 29, 2019 (Sunday)

The official dollar exchange rate of the Bank of Russia for tomorrow, December 29, 2019, will be set until 15:00 Moscow time today.

Dynamics of the dollar exchange rate in Russia - Graph

The minimum value of the dollar exchange rate according to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation in 2019 was 61.7164 67.192 rub. Since the beginning of the year, the dollar exchange rate has strengthened by 5.048 rub. (8.14%).

The minimum value of the dollar exchange rate according to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for the current month was 61.7164 rub., maximum value - 64.4097 rub. Over the month, the US dollar rose against the Russian ruble by 2.3782 rub. (3.83%).

Archive of the dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for the selected date

In this table you can see the dynamics of the dollar exchange rate in Russia by day for a given date.

When and how does the Central Bank set the official ruble exchange rate?

The Central Bank sets the US dollar/ruble exchange rate for tomorrow every weekday. The established rate begins to be effective on the next calendar day after the day of establishment and remains in force until the next established rate comes into effect. The data is published on the regulator’s website until 15:00 Moscow time (usually this happens around 14:00)

Let's look at an example: on Tuesday, the Bank of Russia set the dollar exchange rate for Wednesday. This is the dollar exchange rate for tomorrow. In this case, on Tuesday, the rate for today is the rate set on Monday. On Wednesday, the rate for today becomes the rate set on Tuesday, and the rate for tomorrow (Thursday) is published on Wednesday at around 14:00 Moscow time.

A separate logic applies on weekends and holidays. So, on Friday, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation sets the exchange rate for tomorrow, which is valid on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. The new rate for tomorrow will be published only on Monday afternoon and will come into force on Tuesday. A similar logic applies to holidays.

How is the Central Bank exchange rate formed? To do this, the regulator averages quotes for the USDRUB pair in trading on the currency section of the Moscow Exchange during the index session (from 10:00 Moscow time to 11:30 Moscow time). Then, based on the dollar exchange rate, the Bank of Russia forms the official rates of other 33 currencies. The exchange rate of the ruble depends on supply and demand in the market.

Why do we need the official dollar exchange rate, since it quickly becomes outdated and does not “keep up” with the real dynamics of the foreign exchange market? It is a standard for government agencies when preparing reports, and also serves as a convenient reference point for people who are far from the world of stock exchange news.

Average monthly dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation 2017, 2018, 2019

The average dollar exchange rate according to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for the current year is 64.6295 rubles.

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The average dollar exchange rate for the current month is at the level of 62.9839 rubles.

• The dollar exchange rate has attracted especially much attention in recent years. Not only the Central Bank, players on the exchanges, but also ordinary citizens pay attention to it. It is not always easy to follow fluctuations: the official one is different from the one set by banks. Therefore, we offer you to use our service. With its help you will learn:
• current rate,
• changes according to schedule,
• features of sale and purchase,

profitable offers from banks in real time.

The dollar exchange rate today depends on many circumstances. The main factors include: the activity of the Central Bank of Russia, economic and political news, tax periods, the activity of commercial banks and demand from the population. Managing performance is not the job of central financial institutions, but any change in the amount of money in circulation can lead to changes in the foreign exchange market.

Among the factors there are significant news in the economic sphere:

• Macroeconomic reports raise the possibility of policy tightening. This leads to an increase in the attractiveness of investments and the influx of foreign currency into the country.
• As indicators worsen, the situation changes in the opposite direction.

To some extent, the dollar also depends on the amount of gold held by the US Federal Reserve. The more of it there is in the state, the more confidently the monetary unit holds on the banking exchanges. But despite this, the behavior of the currency is so unpredictable that even experienced financiers cannot always confidently predict how the dollar will behave or with 100% certainty.

Therefore, we suggest that you find out the dollar exchange rate for tomorrow or the forecast for a date set by you. To forecast the dollar exchange rate you can study:

• archive,
• fluctuation chart.

Most of the fluctuations occur due to changes in the price of oil. The global volume of production and its consumption have an impact.

Why know the dollar exchange rate?

Obtaining information about the dollar exchange rate online allows entrepreneurs, government organizations and ordinary people to monitor events taking place in the global financial market. Now many people are trying to make deposits in foreign currency, considering this option the most profitable and stable.

In recent years, there has been an increase in the desire of Russian citizens to vacation abroad. Regardless of the country, many first exchange rubles for dollars, and then for the desired currency. This allows you not only to save money, but also to win.

A convenient service has been developed on our website to carry out any transaction. Thanks to it, you will find out not only the cost of buying or selling a dollar, but you will also be able to find the bank that offers the most profitable option. This dollar to ruble exchange rate is highlighted in red.

Thus, using special financial instruments and information about the US dollar exchange rate, you can predict the result, make a profitable investment, and make a profit. We tried to make sure that you can get up-to-date information from the presenters at any time.

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Additional information and services

At the top there is a block with the official exchange rates of the Central Bank of Russia for today and tomorrow. Data is updated daily on weekdays, on weekdays from 13 to 15 hours. Dollar exchange rate December 28, 2019 calculated on the previous day based on the results of the weighted average exchange price at 11:30 and published on the website of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Official exchange rates are broadcast from the server of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for the following instruments:

USD - dollar exchange rate, EUR - euro exchange rate, UAH - hryvnia exchange rate, BYR - Belarusian ruble exchange rate.

Please note that the Ukrainian hryvnia exchange rate is published by the Bank of Russia at the rate of 10 hryvnia, and the Belarusian ruble rate is calculated at 1000 units. You can see the full list of exchange rates of the Central Bank of Russia for today and tomorrow in the currency informant table

In the center of the page there is an interactive chart where you can view hundreds of financial market instruments in real time. The selection of the most popular instruments is presented in the “watchlist” column, which is located to the right of the chart; when you hover the cursor, a tooltip appears with a description of the selected instrument.

The Traders Forum provides its users with interactive, real-time information in collaboration with Tradingview. Stock charts online. Forex, RTS, CME quotes on our forum you can always monitor all world markets online.

Convenient tools for technical analysis allow you to make calculations on a web page without using a trading terminal or additional software. Flash display technology streams data with the lowest possible latency for a web interface. Stock charts online. RTS, EURUSD, SP500 index chart online. Quotes online

The list of instruments includes the most liquid and popular indices, stocks and currencies. Using the window for manually entering an instrument ticker, you can independently select the instrument you need.

Ticker USDRUB- dollar exchange rate online on the stock exchange
Ticker UKOIL- Brent oil quotes online
Ticker SPX500- online quotes of the S&P500 index
Ticker RTS- chart of the RTS index traded on the Moscow Exchange
Ticker DXY- dollar index chart online
Ticker NAS100- online chart of the NASDAQ 100 index
Ticker GBPUSD- online chart of quotes for the British pound/US dollar pair
Ticker EURUSD- online chart of quotes for the euro/US dollar pair
Ticker XAUUSD- gold quotes on the stock exchange in real time

You can always apply technical analysis tools to the chart and save the chart as a graphic image on your computer or get a link to the file. This way you can insert graphs directly into forum posts. To save or share an image, click on the camera in the green square in the upper right corner and follow the instructions

The Moscow Exchange, as well as other exchanges and the interbank Forex market, broadcast quotes on weekdays on weekdays; trading is not held on Saturday and Sunday. Therefore, these days the charts are static and reflect the state of the market at closing on Friday.

If the graphs are not displayed at all or errors occur, make sure that you have Java Script and Flash technologies enabled in your browser. If everything is ok, try refreshing the page several times. If the page is not displayed correctly, you need to clear your browser cache. If all of the above methods did not help solve the problem, write about it in the chat or on the forum. The administration constantly monitors and eliminates all problems that arise.

In world practice, the most common type of displaying stock exchange information on charts is considered to be Japanese candlesticks. The advantage of this type is that the chart displays maximum information about price behavior in a specified period of time (time interval). To construct a candle, four price values ​​are taken - the opening price, the maximum price, the minimum price, and the closing price. The body of the candle (rectangle) is constructed as follows: the opening price is a horizontal line, the closing price is also a horizontal line, but depending on whether the closing price is lower or higher, the body of the candle begins to be drawn and if the quote decreases, the candle is filled in red , if quotes on the stock exchange are rising, the candle turns green.

A very important point in Japanese candlesticks is information about both highs and lows (price spikes), which leave “tails” on the candle or are also called “candle shadows”. These shadows show what value the quote reached during the selected period of time, but by the close of the candle the quote rolled back and on the chart we only draw a “shadow” in the form of a vertical line.

Thus, Japanese candlesticks on stock charts allow you to clearly see the direction of movement of quotes and their highs and lows, which is impossible to see on a regular line chart, which is plotted using only one point - the closing price.

The dollar exchange rate, as well as quotes for Brent oil, other currencies and financial instruments, very often differ on different sites, for several reasons. First of all, you need to understand on which website the dollar exchange rate is broadcast online. For example, very often, quotes on websites are broadcast with a delay of 15 minutes - this is one of the main reasons why quotes may not match the values ​​on our website.

It is also important to understand from which source the data is being broadcast. For example, on our website you can see the dollar exchange rate online 24 hours a day, even at times when trading is not taking place on the MICEX. This is due to the fact that the page displays the weighted average dollar exchange rate from the interbank foreign exchange market, which operates around the clock and is not an exchange market. When currency trading begins on the MICEX, quotes on Forex and on the Moscow Exchange become almost identical, due to the work of algorithms and arbitrage strategies of traders that eliminate inefficiencies in the market and quotes on Forex and on the MICEX take on identical values. You can see something similar if you look at currency trading on the spot market and on the futures market, the charts will be the same, there will only be a difference in quotes due to the specifics of the futures contract.

There is another important point that explains why quotes can vary significantly between Brent oil and other futures. The fact is that futures are traded in series that differ in delivery date, for example, futures with delivery in December, March, June and September can be traded at the same time, and their quote values ​​will be different, since they reflect price expectations in different calendar periods . It follows that if it is now December and the date is approaching the expiration of the December oil futures contract, then on one site you can see the price of $70 per barrel, and on the other $72, because on the first site the quotes of the current old contract, and on the other site updated the contract and already shows March futures.

So, let's summarize. Quotes may vary on different sites for several reasons: broadcast is delayed, different data sources, different futures contracts, technical glitches. As for the quotes of currency pairs on the interbank market, it is worth remembering that the Forex market is not centralized and is not regulated by the exchange; quotes are generated by banks and liquidity providers independently, using different sources and filtering systems, so quotes on Forex obviously cannot be the same in different sources, in contrast to exchange-traded instruments, the correctness of which can always be checked on the official websites of the exchanges where one or another exchange-traded financial instrument is traded.

Dollar exchange rate online

Exchange rates for today December 28, 2019 is updated daily on working days of the Moscow Exchange and is published, including on our website, on this page. The fixed dollar exchange rate from the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is most often needed by companies that make payments in foreign currency, while ordinary individuals and private traders are more interested in exchange prices. The fact is that when opening a brokerage account, an investor gets direct access to trading in the foreign exchange section, where he gets the opportunity to make purchase/sale transactions not at the set price of the Central Bank, but at the current exchange quotes, which provides a number of advantages for making money on the exchange.

After the exchange closes, trading continues on the interbank forex market, trading takes place on the USD RUB currency pair around the clock, this allows you to generate a flow of quotes in real time and provide visitors to the page with the dollar exchange rate online 24 hours a day from Monday to Friday. During the opening of trading on the MICEX, traders in banks begin to carry out transactions in the currency section of the exchange from 10:00 to 23:50 (Moscow time), at this time quotes on the charts are the most accurate due to high liquidity and the work of algorithmic strategies. However, during the Asian trading session, traders begin to sell USD RUB and by observing the numbers before the opening of the MICEX, it is possible with a fairly high degree of probability to predict the opening levels of trading on the Moscow Exchange. Also, using the real-time dollar exchange rate, you can independently calculate the Central Bank exchange rate, which is calculated based on the price at exchange currency trading at 11:30 Moscow time.

The events taking place in the foreign exchange market in December 2014, when the dollar exchange rate rapidly rose to a historical high, instantly reaching the level of 79 rubles, attracted the attention of citizens who had previously not been interested in trading on the stock exchange. Brokerage companies working with the Moscow Exchange, as well as Forex dealers, began to actively offer services to the public for opening accounts for independent trading on the exchange. In 2015, exchange rates traded in a wide range from 49 to 70 rubles, the last day of trading of the year closed at the historical maximum of both the fixed dollar exchange rate of the Central Bank and the non-exchange market, the dollar reached 75 rubles, and the euro exchange rate was 80 rubles. The first full working day of 2016, January 11, was also remembered by traders as a day of new highs in the foreign exchange market and a collapse in the stock market, exchange rates reached 76 and 83 rubles, respectively, the MICEX index at the opening lost more than 3%, but by the end of the trading session, the decline narrowed and remained at 2.5%.

Euro exchange rate online chart in real time

To view the euro exchange rate online on Forex, you can use various platforms. If you trade forex and are interested in EURRUB quotes, then you have the opportunity to monitor the exchange rate in real time directly on the website. The site also contains a variety of charts that allow you to track the dynamics of price changes and make forecasts for further changes in quotes. The exchange is equipped with all the tools for convenient trading that will help you understand the market situation online. You can also track the euro exchange rate online on the website of the Moscow Currency Exchange (MICEX). Exchange rates here are also updated in real time and there are charts of changes in EURRUB quotes.

Sberbank of Russia. If you are an individual and decide to buy or sell foreign currency, you can carry out this transaction at Sberbank of the Russian Federation. The bank provides preferential quotes for those who activate the appropriate service packages, which can be found out in more detail on the official website of Sberbank. There is also a small nuance in that the online euro exchange rate is constantly changing, and purchase/sale is carried out at the rate that is in effect at the time of the actual debiting of funds, and not at the one that you saw at the time of the transaction. Like any self-respecting resource, there are exchange rate charts here.

Oil exchange rate online in real time

Oil production. Russian Brent oil is considered to be of lower quality compared to American WTI oil; it is distinguished by its high density and high sulfur content in percentage terms. At the moment, the sale of oil is carried out on the basis of futures contracts; their introduction was initially met with rejection, but when sellers and buyers felt all the advantages of this system, this system gained sympathy among many producing companies. After the introduction of futures contracts, oil pricing left the hands of OPEC (the organization of petroleum exporting countries), which had a monopoly on this right until the mid-eighties of the last century.

Pricing. Changes in oil prices are influenced by many factors. The most important thing, as with any product, is the relationship between supply and demand, but it doesn’t stop there. The price of oil is also undergoing changes due to investor sentiment. Among the most influential reasons for price changes are the growth of the global economy and geopolitical risks, but the online oil price can be influenced by global oil reserves, weather in the fields, changes in exchange rates (the impact is also in the opposite direction), the discovery of new sources of production, the influence of OPEC .

Oil course online. Changes in oil prices in real time can be tracked on many resources; a complete picture with many charts can be provided by the forex exchange website. Here you can track the dynamics of price changes, forecasts for the near future, and also draw conclusions about what awaits tomorrow.

Dollar index online

Instrument ticker on DXY charts. Any market index used in stock, derivatives or other securities markets should be understood as a tool for averaging prices for all traded instruments. The presence of an index allows you to determine the state of the market trend at a given time in order to make decisions on transactions for individual assets. Therefore, such an index serves as a valuable predictive trading tool. For the Forex market in 1973, when floating exchange rates against the US dollar and gold prices were introduced after the collapse of the Breton Woods system, the dollar index USDX (Unated States Dollar indeX), also designated by the ticker DXY, was developed. From now on, for the entire period of trading on the Forex market from Monday to Friday, a continuous round-the-clock calculation of DXY is carried out based on data on exchange rates of the Forex market.

The dollar index is usually calculated as a weighted geometric moving average of the rates of the single European currency - the euro and the monetary units of Canada, Great Britain, Japan, Switzerland and Sweden to the US dollar. The predictive value of USDX as an analytical tool that allows you to determine the overall movement of the Forex market is unusually high and should be the result of a synthesis of a fundamental and technical approach to analyzing the market situation. Using the USDX index as a predictive tool for analyzing exchange rates on Forex is a synthetic combination of technical and fundamental analysis. The fundamental component of the method of using USDX as an analytical tool is to determine the “absolute” price of the dollar in terms of its relationship with other currencies. The technical side of the issue is that graphically the dollar index represents a curve to which all known methods of technical analysis are fully applicable. The DXY index is thus an average indicator of overall market movement, the more common name for which is the term “trend”. Then the currencies should move in line with this trend movement and, therefore, the dollar index should rightfully be considered a trend indicator. Let us explain this using the example of two European currencies – the Swiss franc and the euro.

Practical use of USDX. Every practicing trader knows about the existence of a correlation between the rates of individual currencies, which can be either direct or reverse. With direct correlation, exchange rates move in the same direction; with reverse correlation, they move in the opposite direction. The euro and the Swiss franc are in a state of inverse correlation and when the euro exchange rate rises against the American dollar, the Swiss franc rate, on the contrary, decreases. The dollar exchange rate as a whole, demonstrated by its index in this case, shows a downward, “bearish” dynamics. When the US dollar rises, everything happens exactly the opposite.

Another aspect of using USDX in practice is its use as an independent trading instrument – ​​a futures contract for this index. The ICE exchange (short for Intercontinental Exchange), located in Atlanta, has the maximum trading volume for the DXY instrument. In conclusion, we can give an example of another dollar index that exists along with USDX. Such an index is the TWDI, also called the trade-weighted index, which is calculated by the US Federal Reserve. Its difference from DXY is based on the fact that the exchange rate value of the US currency is calculated in relation to a broader currency basket consisting of the national currencies of states that are US trading partners. However, due to the fact that the composition of this basket of currencies is not constant, the TWDI index itself is a variable value and for this reason cannot serve as a technical analysis tool.

Online gold rate

Factors influencing the exchange rate. Although the gold rate is stable and shows stable growth, small roughness still occurs, because the market cannot exist without risks, but they are so small compared to other rates that they are easy to neglect. Gold prices are affected by changes in global economic growth, and prices are also affected by changes in investor sentiment. You can track the gold rate online on various resources. If you are a forex player, you can easily track the rate thanks to the numerous statistical calculations provided by the exchange. Thanks to the stability of gold prices, quotes are easily predicted for several days, and sometimes weeks, in advance.

Feasibility of investment. As mentioned many times above, oil prices are stable, so investing in this precious metal is relatively safe and makes the most sense, especially if you are looking for a material for long-term investment. Gold is of little interest to traders and speculators, because speculative tactics and strategies work little here due to the high rate stability. Yellow metal prefers a conservative approach, only in this case you can get a benefit, even if it will not be as large as when actively playing in the foreign exchange market, but stable, it is unlikely that you will lose your savings when investing in gold - for this you need a very try. Investing in gold guarantees that you will remain with your money in any case, since gold prices are one of the few stable things in this unstable world.

The day of many Russians begins and ends with searching for information about the current exchange rate. Its size affects our financial capabilities. The cost of imported goods and medicines, the cost of foreign travel, the cost of foreign cars and much more depends on it. The exchange rate is formed as a result of trading on currency exchanges. On them, money plays the role of a commodity that is bought and sold. Supply and demand determine the value of currencies in relation to each other. This is what is called the exchange rate. This value is not constant. It changes its value throughout the trading session.

Until the 30s of the last century, the exchange rate of national currencies depended on the gold reserves of states. Each monetary unit corresponded to a certain gold equivalent. This approach to valuing the national currency changed with the introduction of the gold-currency system. Gold was replaced by a reserve currency, the role of which was chosen by financiers to be the US dollar. The ratio of the value of national monetary units to the dollar has become a fundamental factor in determining the exchange rate of national currencies.

Foreign exchange interventions of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation in the foreign exchange market

To maintain a fixed exchange rate, the Central Bank has to conduct constant trading operations to buy or sell currency within the limits of its reserves. This exchange rate regulation is called motto policy. A “floating” exchange rate involves its regulation through exchange trading. In practice, there is no absolutely free market formation of exchange rates. The Central Bank always keeps its finger on the pulse of exchange rate fluctuations and, through its intervention, tries to keep them within a certain corridor.

Methods such as discount policy, devaluation, currency dumping or revaluation are used as currency regulation. The essence of discount policy is to change the discount rate, which affects the inflow or outflow of capital from the country. They raise the discount rate in cases where they want to strengthen the national currency and ensure its growth.

Every year, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation develops a strategy for its monetary policy, which determines the form and methods of currency regulation. It takes into account the state of the domestic economy and the processes occurring in the global financial system. In 2016, the Central Bank plans to increase the discount rate and maintain inflation at 4%. The rate of decline of the ruble can be slowed down by a reduction in capital outflow from the country and a decrease in demand for currency. Many international analysts predict that oil prices will begin to rise in 2016. This could have a serious impact on the strengthening of the ruble exchange rate.

The impact of the dollar exchange rate on the Russian economy

The low exchange rate of the dollar against the ruble reduces budget revenues and the competitiveness of products of Russian producers. The fall in the ruble exchange rate stimulates domestic producers. Prices for imported goods and raw materials are rising and they are becoming less affordable for buyers and producers.

A negative consequence of the depreciation of the domestic currency is the inevitable increase in inflation. It is associated not only with an increase in the price of imported goods, but also with other factors. Many domestic goods contain an imported component. This could be raw materials, materials, components or packaging. They contribute their percentage of the increase in price to the price of the product. Domestic manufacturers and retailers are also taking advantage of the moment. When the dollar rate rises, they strive to raise prices for their products to the level of imported goods and receive additional income.

The impact of Brent oil prices on the ruble exchange rate and the Russian economy

By lowering the exchange rate of the national currency when the price of oil falls, the state seeks to “get” the missing ruble budget revenues. The instability and unpredictability of oil prices does not make it possible to make long-term forecasts of the ruble exchange rate and implement serious programs for the development of the country's economy. Since 2016, the Government has switched to annual budget planning.

Many economic experts believe that a serious decline in oil prices could lead to the collapse of the financial system. Not all resource-based economies, whose budgets were filled with proceeds from oil sales, will be able to survive the protracted oil crisis. Russia faces difficult times. The only way to stabilize the domestic economy can be its structural changes. It is extremely difficult to carry them out in a short time without long-term, cheap investments. Time will tell whether Russia will cope with the challenges of global crises.